Probable-Destruction
0xd40d05703477aa032caddb32f38fc3541f085652
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$81.50
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$227.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.46
$11.46
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1519 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.79
$-37.21
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.25
$-7.75
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31?
16047 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-72.97
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
10687 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-214.52
- YES
Will Google be the second most valuable company on October 31?
6754 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.99
- NO
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
6297 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3236 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
3214 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
2929 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".