Direct-Fantasy
0xd410ddf625bbfc1952eef4c5973b50acd9393a1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$8.9K
Total PnL
$-446.23
Realised
$222.20
Win rate
81%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$-57.57
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20903 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$-127.01
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14100 shares @ 10.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$-167.07
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$802.50
$-8.46
- NO
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
1000 shares @ 59.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$595.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
1000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$385.00
$5.00
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
838 shares @ 41.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$305.91
$-43.98
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
489 shares @ 59.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$291.25
$-0.55
- NO
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
509 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$257.16
$-2.55
- NO
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$217.49
$2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$5.46Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$324.99Jun 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$0.56Jun 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$6.16Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$22.16Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.00Jun 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$2.46Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$0.49Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$67.72Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80.00Jun 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$1.14Jun 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$2.81Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$8.44Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$0.47Jun 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$0.56Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.92Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.00Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.00Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$5.06Jun 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$3.33Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.