Unfortunate-Doe
0xd4190e2e5caddfac1549af151fe1e2c37de2e475
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?
2951 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
2906 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
1776 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-109.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
1001 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
615 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
519 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
505 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.20May 29, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.04May 29, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.70May 27, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.03May 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.52May 26, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.03May 26, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.70May 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.03May 25, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.52May 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.04May 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.23May 25, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.06May 25, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.18May 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.04May 25, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.20May 25, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.04May 25, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.22May 25, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.06May 25, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.08May 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.05May 25, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.