Shadowy-Seashore
0xd41b1f7e6137cfed98a1e69e4af68829c9e1fb8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.88
Realised
$-1.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.32Dec 31, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else be inaugurated?$8.80Dec 31, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$1.00Dec 31, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$10.00Dec 31, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$15.61Dec 31, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$19.90Dec 31, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$35.55Dec 31, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$19.26Dec 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$16.29Dec 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$19.33Dec 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$14.64Dec 31, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$4.69Dec 31, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$31.06Dec 31, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$21.12Dec 31, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$9.94Dec 31, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$14.70Dec 31, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$14.70Dec 31, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$35.85Dec 31, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$1.60Dec 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$1.00Dec 30, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.