0xd420ed41d77d08684ee4ab2a2a43036bff6cf1a4
0xd420ed41d77d08684ee4ab2a2a43036bff6cf1a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$18.05
Total PnL
$-1.53
Realised
$-2.99
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 16?
8 shares @ 64.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$7.82
$2.77
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 10?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$7.48
$5.46
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.63
$0.62
- NO
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$1.12
$0.11
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 16?
7 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on November 19?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 10?
4 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15?$1.01Dec 23, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on December 16?$1.01Dec 23, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 15?$1.01Dec 23, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 19?$1.02Dec 23, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 10?$1.03Dec 23, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 16?$1.03Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 17?$1.04Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 19?$1.07Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?$0.00Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 20?$1.19Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 12?$0.00Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17?$0.00Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 19?$2.15Dec 23, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on December 18?$0.00Dec 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 18?$0.00Dec 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on December 16?$0.00Dec 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 19?$0.00Dec 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 13?$0.00Dec 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 10?$0.00Dec 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 6?$4.42Dec 23, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 23:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".