Jumbo-Type
0xd42165b541edab3a0085de6d90d081d7c5014ccf
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-184.89
Realised
$2.01
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
17085 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
1121 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
175 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 26?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
95 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?$2.00Feb 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$20.00Feb 3, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$3.60Feb 3, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$1.00Feb 3, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$1.50Feb 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Feb 3, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.12Feb 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.60Feb 3, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Feb 3, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Feb 3, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$15.00Feb 3, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Feb 3, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$12.62Feb 3, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Feb 3, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$10.00Feb 3, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.00Feb 3, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$5.00Feb 3, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$15.21Feb 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.00Feb 3, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$4.21Feb 3, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".