Greedy-Horse
0xd4236d9a87398edc3d18b38d02140788bbde995a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$113.55
Total PnL
$-105.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?
86 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.79
$-0.01
- ENGLAND
Spread: France (-1.5)
13 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$12.68
$3.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 22?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?
1460 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 16-22?
1150 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9?
835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?
833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15?
749 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 12?
735 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?$86.01Jul 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$9.13Jul 18, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $235?$95.19Jul 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $235?$95.00Jun 26, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?$13.67Jun 26, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets$14.53Jun 26, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$67.32Jun 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$67.25May 31, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets$8.82May 31, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?$10.72May 31, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$65.36May 31, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$65.29May 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?$64.92May 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?$65.00May 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2$8.56May 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$14.80May 30, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$88.73May 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$88.64May 29, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?$10.70May 29, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$99.35May 29, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $78.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.