Sarcastic-Fang
0xd4264b635a835321db88fb6ed4031b924ffa87cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.8K
Realised
$-66.06
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
237727 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-606.92
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
11383 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9397 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
6051 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Mustafa Hijri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
6009 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
5966 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
5949 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-489.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$137.78Apr 7, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$99.91Mar 30, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$37.87Mar 30, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$282.38Mar 23, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$282.38Mar 23, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$64.36Mar 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$100.00Mar 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$38.00Mar 22, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$592.68Mar 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$35.00Mar 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$40.00Mar 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$39.51Mar 10, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$100.00Mar 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.06Mar 10, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$10.00Mar 10, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$10.00Mar 10, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$5.52Mar 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$127.59Mar 10, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$100.00Mar 10, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $60.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.