Fantastic-Paper
0xd42cef6f79f056d8511288abff36821a95559b54
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$1.88
Total PnL
$-950.43
Realised
$2.51
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.88
$-3.13
- YES
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
615 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
440 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
432 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
363 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-32.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
303 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
267 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-23.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
259 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
247 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-26.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$35.00Apr 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$50.00Apr 17, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$10.00Apr 17, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$40.00Apr 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$20.00Apr 17, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borges$25.00Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$30.00Apr 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$8.47Apr 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$11.03Apr 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$63.17Apr 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".