Deafening-Adjustment
0xd4309fc2115ac15778fd07a679f4cf9c6dbf4847
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.24
Total PnL
$-71.70
Realised
$-7.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$17.24
$12.24
- YES
Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
X relaunches Vine before July?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?$0.00Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?$0.00Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMSuper Bowl LIX Winner$0.00Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?$33.33Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$41.24Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$1.00Feb 10, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuper Bowl LIX Winner$2.00Feb 10, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$0.02Feb 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.06Feb 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE balance the budget in 2025?$10.00Feb 10, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$5.00Feb 10, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$12.07Feb 10, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$20.20Feb 9, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill $Trump FDV be $45-50b on Feb 1?$0.00Feb 3, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEM Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?$17.24Feb 3, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?$10.00Feb 1, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle buy TikTok?$20.00Feb 1, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?$0.00Feb 1, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?$5.00Feb 1, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.