Real-Clerk
0xd4359d961ffa164d8c59eb36fd07955bffa0a91a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 22?
240 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?
216 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?
170 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?
148 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
134 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?
125 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 28?
118 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
104 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?
102 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 30?
88 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 22?$1.80Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$139.99Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$137.75Jul 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$1.82Jul 11, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$126.67Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$122.87May 30, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 28?$2.40May 28, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$4.69May 23, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 23?$122.87May 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 23?$121.27May 23, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?$3.24May 21, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 15?$150.00May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 15?$148.95May 14, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down on April 15?$28.07May 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?$1.48May 10, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 11?$128.52May 8, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 31?$0.00May 1, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 in January?$0.00Apr 25, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 15?$2.21Apr 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 15?$0.05Apr 15, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $44.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.