Twin-Poem
0xd4381051ab4eb434ee415872751326974f3eb80a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$19.98
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-20.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
20 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.77
$0.19
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
5 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.21
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 1?
11610 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.90
- NETS
Nets vs. Rockets
7490 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-768.47
- UCLA
UCLA vs. Indiana
4700 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-329.00
- YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?
2500 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-450.00
- TITANS
Titans vs. Colts
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?
1000 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-720.00
- PREDATORS
Hurricanes vs. Predators
1000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-370.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
590 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$0.20Jun 3, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00May 15, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$19.58May 15, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$2.81Apr 17, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$30.00Apr 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$9.74Mar 26, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$28.68Mar 7, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$20.65Feb 23, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 23, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$29.83Feb 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$6.86Jan 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$22.35Jan 20, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$18.00Jan 3, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$30.00Jan 3, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$29.88Dec 20, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Timberwolves$292.00Dec 17, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Predators$370.00Dec 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 1?$5.88Dec 1, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 1?$8.00Dec 1, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 1?$5.55Dec 1, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $34.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".