Quick-Witted-Stream-Mastication
0xd43ab9057019a7abc02d0fc14689356d58e3ca73
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.37
Realised
$3.82
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?
180 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 1?
170 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 24?
148 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?
140 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?
130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 23?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 11?
103 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 3?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 8?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 28?$0.06Jul 28, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$0.20Jul 27, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?$0.02Jul 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 27?$0.10Jul 27, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?$0.10Jul 27, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 27?$0.10Jul 27, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 27?$1.50Jul 27, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 27?$0.09Jul 27, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?$0.08Jul 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?$0.02Jul 27, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?$0.02Jul 27, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27?$0.12Jul 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27?$0.08Jul 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$0.10Jul 27, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.