Only-Official
0xd43ae83972bc0850c323f023c5d1ac6050de1217
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$45.00
Total PnL
$-0.83
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
45 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$45.00
$0.04
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
5 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$0.80Oct 14, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$44.95Oct 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.10Sep 22, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Sep 10, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $11.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.