Shady-Noise
0xd43bb100ba3d1dc66d65452e73c74a9156604ef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$14.60
Total PnL
$-25.14
Realised
$6.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
106 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.12
$-6.88
- YES
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
4 shares @ 22.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on February 24?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google reach $350 in February?
198 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
25 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$18.00Mar 2, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein storage units raided in 2026?$3.00Mar 1, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$1.14Mar 1, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?$21.75Mar 1, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?$5.00Feb 28, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.46Feb 28, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$4.00Feb 28, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.00Feb 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.00Feb 26, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?$1.00Feb 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?$1.00Feb 26, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24?$2.00Feb 26, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $640 on February 24?$2.00Feb 24, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24?$1.00Feb 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.92Feb 24, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$1.16Feb 24, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$1.00Feb 24, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.89Feb 24, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 24?$0.24Feb 24, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 24?$1.09Feb 23, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".