Known-Commotion
0xd43ea3546a44326ec77faf1c51bf86b729ed3604
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$273.96
Total PnL
$-341.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?
71 shares @ 46.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$71.32
$38.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?
27 shares @ 48.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$26.99
$13.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?
16 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$15.74
$5.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$11.03
$0.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?
34 shares @ 30.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$10.76
$0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?
19 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$9.60
$0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 8?
9 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$9.36
$2.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?
34 shares @ 26.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$8.99
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$8.20
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 8?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$8.00
$3.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 9?$1.1710m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?$7.3616m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?$9.2416m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 9?$1.2216m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 9?$4.5835m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?$9.551h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$10.901h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?$1.251h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 9?$3.701h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?$2.211h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 9?$1.671h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?$4.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?$10.361h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?$3.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?$7.791h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?$1.142h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?$5.002h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 8?$13.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 9?$3.944h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 9?$0.894h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12h ago
- Last active
- 10m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
