Sparse-Distortion
0xd443aa7daf90ed0c360b7e58fb5ab643b5eeee1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.85
Total PnL
$-614.03
Realised
$4.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
5 shares @ 82.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.85
$0.85
- YES
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
1621 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
576 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
405 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
14 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
13 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$9.00Nov 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?$4.00Nov 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else be inaugurated?$12.50Nov 21, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?$11.00Nov 18, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?$11.00Nov 18, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?$8.00Nov 7, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMHarris wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMKamala wins 275-263 - Sunbelt Sweep$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMKamala wins 287-251 - PA, NV, MI, WI, AZ$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else be inaugurated?$2.61Nov 6, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 6, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$36.00Nov 5, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$48.00Nov 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 5, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $87.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".