Natural-Warfare
0xd4478bf17e9859df9a4c088a094e351092876db8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-519.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET
141 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-70.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2PM ET
105 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-52.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
97 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-48.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
86 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-43.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
71 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-35.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
65 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-32.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
47 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-23.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
47 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-23.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.08May 15, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$3.11May 15, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.89May 15, 05:25 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$8.00May 15, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$20.00May 2, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$10.20Apr 25, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.96Apr 10, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$4.32Apr 10, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.96Apr 10, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$3.84Apr 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$24.91Apr 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2.00Apr 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$5.59Apr 9, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?$164.47Apr 8, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?$164.31Mar 31, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on March 27?$163.99Mar 31, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 27?$163.66Mar 27, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$163.99Mar 27, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$664.00Mar 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$664.67Mar 15, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $509.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 05:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.