Optimistic-Duty
0xd447dd71c07291d24cf2b836edc3e720a6c863ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-602.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
555 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$39.38Mar 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$23.00Mar 14, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$50.00Mar 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$9.79Mar 14, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$63.71Mar 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$50.00Mar 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2PM ET$40.00Mar 14, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".