Warm-Flow
0xd44b6b355e96b29f477421f65be6a1bc1a80edab
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$11.40
Total PnL
$-364.66
Realised
$588.28
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.40
$0.60
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
7500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
5180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.85
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2215 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1800 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-651.50
- YES
Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
900 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.80
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
600 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
600 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
400 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
277 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 25, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.