Plaintive-Ping
0xd44c919a655a007bcee15777c76b00cd3d8828c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$239.41
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$29.50
$9.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 21?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$27.25
$7.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26?
31 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$23.56
$-0.62
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 21, 11AM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$20.60
$0.60
- NO
Exact Score: SK Iberia 1999 0 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$20.13
$-0.11
- YES
SK Iberia 1999 leading at halftime?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$19.14
$-0.87
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$18.20
$6.20
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?
24 shares @ 49.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$12.36
$0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 21?
60 shares @ 11.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$11.10
$4.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.50
$-4.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSK Iberia 1999 leading at halftime?$15.61Jul 21, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSK Iberia 1999 leading at halftime?$2.30Jul 21, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 11AM ET$20.00Jul 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSK Iberia 1999 leading at halftime?$2.09Jul 21, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3.32Jul 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$15.00Jul 21, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26?$24.18Jul 21, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku win on 2026-07-22?$0.80Jul 21, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KKS Czarni Sosnowiec vs. SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku end in a draw?$1.04Jul 21, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$20.00Jul 21, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?$11.76Jul 21, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Azzurri United FC 0 - 2 Macarthur FC?$0.96Jul 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.68Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SK Iberia 1999 0 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?$8.74Jul 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?$3.79Jul 21, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5$1.00Jul 21, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5$0.99Jul 21, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Larne FC 1 - 2 FK Crvena zvezda?$10.01Jul 21, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?$2.80Jul 21, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SK Iberia 1999 0 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?$11.50Jul 21, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.