Stupendous-Divan
0xd450738d0ab658aa905464219fd818ef9b18fb53
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.85
Total PnL
$-531.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$3.85
$2.85
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
3370 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
2452 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Bybit insolvent before April?
2222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
1142 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
796 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?
325 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will BSW be part of the next German government?
289 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red?$1.00Feb 24, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$100.00Feb 23, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$40.00Feb 23, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$20.00Feb 23, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$10.00Feb 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW be part of the next German government?$10.00Feb 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Left be part of the next German government?$10.00Feb 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$30.00Feb 23, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $10.00Feb 23, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$10.00Feb 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in February?$10.00Feb 23, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBybit insolvent before April?$100.00Feb 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$14.00Feb 23, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$10.00Feb 23, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?$10.00Feb 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$10.00Feb 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$20.00Feb 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$20.00Feb 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$20.00Feb 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$10.00Feb 22, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $22.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.