Ugly-Harald
0xd46345f40db14d5bfec13dd7b69feede2340b75a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.36
Total PnL
$-261.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Ecuador?
26 shares @ 11.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.36
$-0.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
86 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
24 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
24 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
19 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
19 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
17 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Ecuador?$3.08Jun 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$10.14Jun 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$15.34Jun 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.11Jun 12, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$6.38Jun 11, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?$16.18Jun 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?$2.82Jun 11, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.80May 3, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$3.13May 3, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.60May 1, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.03May 1, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.21May 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.13May 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$2.08May 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$2.08May 1, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$2.09May 1, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$16.59May 1, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.16May 1, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.88May 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$3.13May 1, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.