Sore-Impairment
0xd46526dfa84e86b0fe50360cc517f755cabaa2ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-226.92
Win rate
2%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
427 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-166.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
321 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-164.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
289 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
175 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-27.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
161 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
160 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
158 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
143 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-41.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$8.39Aug 17, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$8.00Aug 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$4.14Aug 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$10.27Aug 17, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$9.80Aug 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.17Aug 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.05Aug 17, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$11.37Aug 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.00Aug 17, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.00Aug 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.10Aug 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.00Aug 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.05Aug 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.03Aug 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.17Aug 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4PM ET$5.14Aug 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4PM ET$14.45Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$14.39Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
200 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 23:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.