Only-Detection
0xd470dc6b5c9eb0c51084ead765a5e137ad1b8c25
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 1?
1335 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
1234 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
161 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-23.92
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$20.00Nov 7, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$20.00Nov 1, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$10.00Nov 1, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 1?$20.00Nov 1, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$40.00Nov 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$49.60Nov 1, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$10.00Nov 1, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$20.08Oct 21, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.72Oct 21, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$20.00Oct 21, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$3.92Oct 21, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Oct 14, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $22.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.