Large-Care
0xd477576f69e9d9ac8aa2d5e878efa18211556784
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.25
Total PnL
$-9.19
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.25
$5.25
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
99 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 17?
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 17?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on January 17?
38 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
11 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.03May 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.18Feb 21, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.90Feb 20, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.96Feb 20, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.24Feb 20, 09:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.01Feb 14, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.83Feb 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.49Feb 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.29Feb 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.66Feb 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.07Feb 13, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.12Feb 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.76Feb 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.