Firsthand-Ease
0xd4787b1d1243d95d71fa6d4f1218093dadd40ed8
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$51.42
Total PnL
$-9.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
260 shares @ 12.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 27.6¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.50
$-0.30
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
66 shares @ 15.1¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.65
$-2.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.704h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.704h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$8.404h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$27.5011h ago
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$10.3413h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$6.904d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.004d ago
- REDEEMWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.0010d ago
- SPLITWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$10.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4.0030d ago
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.0053d ago
- REDEEMWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$0.0053d ago
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Radical Left" in Wisconsin on Thursday?$0.0053d ago
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.0053d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 75d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
