Better-Browsing
0xd487141ea526038d4cdcf8f7fbaf79c82d86a674
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$107.88
Total PnL
$967.24
Realised
$943.31
Win rate
100%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$26.25
$25.75
- YES
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$15.15
$14.65
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$10.00
- YES
Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.38
$6.88
- YES
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.25
$5.75
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in August?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.00
$4.50
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.52
$2.02
- YES
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2027$2.50
$2.00
- YES
Will Emily Berge be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.40
$1.90
- YES
Will “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$1.80
$1.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?$0.29Aug 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on August 31, 2026?$0.08Aug 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?$0.00Aug 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?$0.00Aug 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?$0.00Aug 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?$0.00Aug 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?$0.12Aug 11, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?$0.02Aug 11, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?$0.50Aug 11, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s CPI increase by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?$0.10Aug 11, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31?$0.01Aug 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by August 31?$0.40Aug 10, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by August 31?$0.50Aug 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?$0.33Aug 10, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?$0.48Aug 10, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYYabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?$0.50Aug 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on September 30, 2026?$0.05Aug 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on September 30, 2026?$0.10Aug 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on September 30, 2026?$0.12Aug 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on September 30, 2026?$0.10Aug 10, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.