Flamboyant-Outset
0xd48980c6c62eee7f36d455f789a137494f86c11e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-744.59
Realised
$-79.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
255 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-115.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
250 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 21?
200 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- UP
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 9?
170 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-74.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
150 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-61.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1AM ET
124 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-73.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
100 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-14.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
100 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-23.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 14, 4PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 14, 4PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 22?$201.00Mar 23, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 22?$152.76Mar 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 21?$132.00Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$0.00Feb 9, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 9?$74.80Feb 9, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$0.00Feb 9, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$0.00Feb 9, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$100.00Feb 9, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET$50.00Jan 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 14, 4PM ET$100.00Jan 14, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET$100.00Jan 13, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2PM ET$50.00Jan 12, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12PM ET$50.00Jan 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET$46.00Jan 12, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 7AM ET$36.00Jan 4, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 7AM ET$70.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$14.40Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $30.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".