Clear-Cut-Doorbell
0xd491a8382e54cdd51b89337d9c7a77d87bec3ba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-83.37
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
413 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
225 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
192 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01May 22, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$0.07Mar 3, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$2.00Feb 24, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$3.05Feb 24, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$2.00Feb 24, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$2.12Feb 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$2.00Feb 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$3.00Feb 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.17Feb 23, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.18Feb 23, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$4.00Feb 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$4.06Feb 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.00Feb 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$4.32Feb 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$3.00Feb 23, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$4.41Feb 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$0.07Feb 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$3.00Feb 22, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".