Superior-Tadpole
0xd496deb60063e51e45fe6adda381b77093ab00ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$46.18
Total PnL
$-204.76
Realised
$-10.88
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 21?
260 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$14.57
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 21?
424 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.78
$-0.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
38 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.54
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?
142 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.69
$-0.16
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 38.8¢·now 36.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.68
$-0.34
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 29.8¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.43
$-3.45
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
72 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.29
$-4.46
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 38.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$-0.41
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.85
$-5.03
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.13
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.01May 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 21?$0.18May 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.25May 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$1.08May 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.39May 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.11May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.18May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.18May 20, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 21?$0.66May 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 21?$5.01May 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 21?$2.78May 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.29May 20, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.07May 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.49May 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 21?$2.40May 20, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 21?$3.44May 20, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$0.49May 20, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?$1.38May 20, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 21?$5.17May 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 21?$5.17May 20, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".