Silly-Safety
0xd4970a618402c9c53e71b8d5506d2ddb264b0f43
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the UEFA Nations League?
24 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
3 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $385-400m by April 30?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the UEFA Nations League?$8.00Jun 4, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Apr 28, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 28, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?$0.00Apr 28, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$1.11Apr 28, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$1.00Apr 21, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $385-400m by April 30?$1.00Apr 21, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?$1.00Mar 16, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 14, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 14, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?$0.00Mar 13, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?$1.69Mar 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?$2.63Mar 12, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?$0.80Mar 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?$1.00Mar 12, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?$1.00Mar 12, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?$1.00Mar 12, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?$1.00Mar 12, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?$1.41Mar 12, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".