Flimsy-Model
0xd4970e32da8304978a181d543abf8224ebf629f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-657.45
Realised
$159.52
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
453 shares @ 84.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$446.27
$61.59
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
411 shares @ 86.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$364.13
$8.89
- YES
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
200 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.00
$128.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$100.00
$96.00
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3712 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.83
$-35.27
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
375 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.88
$-24.38
- YES
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-12.50
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
1205 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.51
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
1156 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-229.81
- YES
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
1000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.