Soft-Beanie
0xd4971999a5b2519b175dffef0c5f268c0279c390
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.84
Realised
$-1.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
282 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 14?
204 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 13?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 12?
130 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 11?
103 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 10?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
99 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-38.59
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 9?
65 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 8?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 20?
28 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$38.59Nov 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 13?$3.00Nov 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 12?$3.00Nov 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 11?$3.00Nov 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AP call the election on November 20?$0.75Nov 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 10?$3.00Nov 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 9?$3.00Nov 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 20?$2.00Nov 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 8?$5.00Nov 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 14?$3.00Nov 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$4.87Nov 5, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$15.00Nov 5, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$5.00Nov 5, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $6.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".