Hard-To-Find-Phenomenon
0xd497873a13dc9f215fc86c04438c2894a5c142c5
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$14.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
3800 shares @ 44.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$-485.22
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
600 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$600.00
$13.80
- YES
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?
118 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$118.43
$13.03
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
66 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.68
$2.35
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.50
$-10.50
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 70.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.00
$4.46
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.09
$1.09
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
14000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.7K
- RED SOX
Red Sox vs. Brewers
1100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-275.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$21.9810d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?$17.8010d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$359.5410d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.5410d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$25.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$63.3310d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$11.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$10.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$226.6610d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?$123.2010d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$25.3410d ago
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.4K10d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.4K17d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$71.1117d ago
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.3K17d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.2K26d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.2K26d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$191.0077d ago
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$191.0177d ago
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$190.8281d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $181.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 177d ago
- Last active
- 10d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.