Flaky-Stamen
0xd49903828b1ac4cd4122a49eec959c5aaaa80bff
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$20.23
Total PnL
$-39.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$8.47
$3.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.25
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 13?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13?
33 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.02
$-4.98
- DETROIT TIGERS
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14?$5.21Jun 14, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$5.00Jun 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?$5.10Jun 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?$4.67Jun 13, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.64Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$3.04Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$1.44Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$1.04Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12?$5.24Jun 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?$5.23Jun 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 13?$5.25Jun 12, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12?$1.05Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13?$5.21Jun 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.50Jun 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals$10.14Jun 11, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$11.90Jun 11, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.