Wallet digest

active

Activity score

46/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$34.48

Total PnL

$-425.31

Realised

$-237.30

Win rate

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 18

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
30 shares @ 63.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$29.99
$10.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
4 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$4.49
$2.92
YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
181 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$0.00
$-15.74
YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
102 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-13.10
YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
89 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-18.65
YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-14.00
NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
64 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026
$0.00
$-39.04
YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$0.00
$-8.16
YASUTAKA UCHIYAMA
Wuning: Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyama
33 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026
$0.00
$-17.69
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
30 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$0.00
$-9.40

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.90Apr 11, 07:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.05Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.52Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$3.62Apr 11, 01:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$12.60Apr 10, 08:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$240.10Apr 10, 08:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$448.45Apr 10, 08:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.03Apr 10, 08:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.97Apr 10, 08:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.20Apr 10, 08:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.78Apr 10, 08:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.71Apr 10, 08:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.20Apr 10, 08:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.90Apr 10, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.10Apr 10, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.55Apr 10, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.55Apr 10, 07:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.41Apr 10, 07:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$7.89Apr 10, 07:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$8.70Apr 10, 07:24 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry44 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk66 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 47
Avg trade size: $2.69
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 10, 06:51 UTC
Last active: Apr 11, 07:06 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:14:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data