Fitting-Guava
0xd4a1bd3844552fc7164c7bd8690265684bb21653
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.02
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on January 2?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on January 1?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNets vs. Bucks$1.57Dec 30, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Warriors$1.58Dec 30, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on January 2?$2.00Dec 30, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on January 1?$2.00Dec 30, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 31?$2.00Dec 30, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMFever vs. Aces$1.28Nov 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Warriors$1.22Nov 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Bucks$1.30Nov 30, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMMystics vs. Sparks$1.30Sep 30, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.51Sep 30, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFever vs. Aces$1.00Sep 30, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMystics vs. Sparks$1.03Aug 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.50Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?$1.07Jul 28, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.08Jul 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.05Jun 29, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?$1.05Jun 29, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 27?$2.00Jun 29, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 27?$2.00May 27, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Maple Leafs$0.00May 27, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".