0xd4a8e531ad563e1e83db6dd6e6de4e08340b16f7
0xd4a8e531ad563e1e83db6dd6e6de4e08340b16f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?
366 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get 125m or more views on day 1?
314 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?
227 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-01?
204 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win game 5 of the World Chess Championship?
74 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.12Jan 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.11Jan 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$1.11Jan 11, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$1.11Jan 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$1.11Jan 2, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$1.12Jan 1, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?$1.23Dec 20, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?$0.08Dec 20, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?$1.39Dec 17, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?$0.08Dec 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$0.25Dec 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$0.08Dec 12, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$0.25Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?$0.23Dec 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.67Dec 5, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 4, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.17Dec 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?$0.08Dec 3, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$0.25Dec 3, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 18:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.