Winding-Canvas
0xd4a95ff2a68bb7c6cb13f634261f310ba1a1c564
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
1%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
208 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-75.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
187 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
183 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-74.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
162 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
159 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-67.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
151 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-55.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
141 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-64.17
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
137 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-67.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
131 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-65.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
130 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$3.11Aug 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$5.18Aug 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.39Aug 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$8.75Aug 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.27Aug 15, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.27Aug 15, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.16Aug 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.16Aug 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$3.10Aug 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.17Aug 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$6.76Aug 15, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.21Aug 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.17Aug 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3.10Aug 15, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.30Aug 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.30Aug 15, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$9.26Aug 15, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$10.00Aug 15, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$3.13Aug 15, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
139 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.