Bare-Database
0xd4ad23e23c900291403e2c7e97e085f8c3468ac8
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$89.58
Total PnL
$-25.55
Realised
$3.51
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.70
- NO
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.60
- NO
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?
10 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.77
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel"?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.60
- NO
Von der Leyen out in 2025?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.75
$0.78
- NO
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
7 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.19
$0.58
- NO
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.95
$0.54
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$5.00
$0.40
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.00
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$9.82Feb 3, 17:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 19, 00:02 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$391.00Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats win one election in Nov?$1.01Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.12Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats win fewer than 45 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?$3.94Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$6.11Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$9.18Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$9.93Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$10.00Dec 18, 20:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 18, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?$7.86Dec 16, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?$1.74Dec 16, 16:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 16, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 15, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 14, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 13, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 12, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Dec 11, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $8.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".