Remorseful-Pill
0xd4b852a7f168e7a5df0ea693e20714dd916662ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$120.00
Total PnL
$8.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
70 shares @ 66.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$70.00
$23.73
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
30 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$30.00
$0.57
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$20.00
$8.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
145 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
125 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
80 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
25 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
20 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-14.52
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$5.37Dec 16, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$3.25Dec 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?$29.43Dec 4, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$46.27Oct 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$12.00Oct 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$14.52Oct 7, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.25Sep 24, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.24Sep 20, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Sep 8, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $12.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.