Ancient-Minority
0xd4c1c0ffd48da072f515bba5e089acf4cc2c768d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$552.75
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-295.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
750 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$378.61
$78.61
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$174.14
$-125.86
- YES
Will Trump resign in 2025?
2870 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-161.79
- NO
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
2523 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-390.30
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1088 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
1071 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
426 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
315 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
158 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$211.52Jan 23, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$492.36Jan 23, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.2KJan 23, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$132.10Oct 27, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$348.84Oct 1, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$388.08Oct 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$165.71Sep 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$300.00Sep 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$300.00Sep 11, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$200.00Sep 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$500.00Sep 11, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$0.00Sep 11, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$1.5KSep 11, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$126.00Sep 5, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign in 2025?$126.00Sep 3, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$416.23Sep 2, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign in 2025?$185.98Sep 2, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign in 2025?$149.86Sep 2, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign in 2025?$80.39Sep 2, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$268.89Sep 2, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $209.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.