Finished-Avalanche
0xd4c27a620c1e18205b4df07280298b483bb429eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.0K
$200.00
- NO
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
16756 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?
11053 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
8000 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
90 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
62 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-17.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.0KJun 14, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$502.58Dec 30, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.0KDec 30, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$149.00Dec 28, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.4KDec 28, 16:03 UTC
- REWARD$2.37Dec 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$330.00Dec 27, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$406.14Dec 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.58Dec 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$226.20Dec 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.60Dec 27, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.06Dec 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.20Dec 27, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.60Dec 27, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.47Dec 27, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$757.49Dec 27, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$17.36Dec 24, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$8.10Dec 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.20Dec 10, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $424.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.