Honorable-Drawing
0xd4c46f5b7829b4b622ef998fdeb9acf8826789bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$30.58
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$30.00
$15.00
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
14199 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?
8272 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.93
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
7821 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-111.05
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
7161 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.75
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?
6176 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
4469 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.69
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
4444 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$133.33Nov 1, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)$15.00Oct 31, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$5.00Oct 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$15.00Oct 30, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)$15.00Oct 30, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)$3.96Oct 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)$4.81Oct 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)$5.00Oct 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)$4.80Oct 28, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?$15.00Oct 28, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)$15.00Oct 28, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)$34.88Oct 25, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?$15.21Oct 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)$5.00Oct 25, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.22Oct 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?$13.23Oct 25, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)$15.00Oct 25, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)$8.00Oct 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$80.00Oct 21, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)$10.00Oct 20, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".