Vivacious-State
0xd4c5211c543498e36131368041862965a85da290
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$23.97
Total PnL
$0.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$6.00
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$6.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
6 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$6.00
$0.23
- NO
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.97
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.96Jan 26, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.94Jan 26, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.77Jan 26, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.84Jan 26, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Jan 26, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.02Jan 26, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.02Jan 26, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.02Jan 26, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.03Jan 26, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Sep 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.88Jul 12, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.05Jul 12, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.48Jul 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.10Jul 12, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.10Jul 12, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.14Jul 12, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $56.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.