Qualified-Bear
0xd4c6a89656bcd49419248d69c22420ae781b14e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$36.85
Total PnL
$-5.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 26?
24 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$23.56
$3.56
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$6.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
12 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 26?$20.00Feb 24, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?$6.00Feb 24, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$5.00Feb 24, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$9.00Feb 24, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?$0.00Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.02Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 5 above $50?$5.03Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on January 6?$5.07Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMOver $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?$5.09Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$5.10Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$5.62Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Raptors$6.25Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on January 6?$6.76Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 6?$7.35Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Celtics$10.06Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Thunder$18.71Feb 24, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?$2.00Jan 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?$5.00Jan 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$5.00Jan 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 5 above $50?$5.00Jan 6, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.