Weighty-Mangle
0xd4c7cf7359a3e5f4b6d22528163fcfb09c36da11
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
704 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during 9-11 memorial event?
97 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" 6+ times during 9-11 memorial event?
23 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Jet Fuel" during 9-11 memorial event?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$14.54Nov 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$14.57Nov 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.80 November 24-30?$14.34Nov 26, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 November 24-30?$14.69Nov 26, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$30.89Nov 25, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$21.32Nov 23, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)$11.11Oct 20, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)$2.00Oct 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)$2.00Oct 18, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?$1.00Oct 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.04Oct 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?$3.00Oct 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?$2.00Oct 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Oct 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Oct 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Philippines military clash by December 31?$1.31Oct 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?$1.11Oct 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$3.61Oct 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$12.14Oct 17, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".