Precious-Subexpression
0xd4c9649fb024c53c3b88a0f1d96c69f4957bf900
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.77
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-2.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$1.27
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 9AM ET
3937 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1874 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-936.89
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 1PM ET
1623 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-811.37
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
206 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-103.00
- YES
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.04
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$0.29Jun 27, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$0.11Jun 27, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$0.11Jun 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$0.11Jun 27, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$0.11Jun 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$0.11Jun 27, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?$0.68Jun 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$3.58Jun 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$3.62Jun 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03Mar 18, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.48Mar 18, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.05Mar 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.48Mar 18, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.73Feb 27, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.79Feb 27, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.52Feb 22, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.00Feb 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.60Feb 22, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?$5.42Feb 1, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?$5.42Feb 1, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $374.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 15:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.