0xd4ca3fc71f46d444103650c32b81b559a3f2e168
0xd4ca3fc71f46d444103650c32b81b559a3f2e168
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?
740 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-340.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?
720 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-230.40
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?
350 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- GERMANY
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)
345 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-227.70
- NO
Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?
340 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-98.60
- FAZE
IEM Dallas: FaZe vs. HEROIC
320 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-188.80
- YES
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?
235 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2025$0.00
$-79.90
- NO
Will a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?
175 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?
75 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-47.25
- BENN
Chris Eubank Jr. vs. Conor Benn
75 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2025$0.00
$-29.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on June 10?$1.15Jun 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland beat Poland?$29.60Jun 10, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7 AM ET$30.00Jun 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7 AM ET$30.00Jun 9, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway beat Italy?$30.00Jun 9, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway beat Italy?$10.50Jun 6, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$10.00Jun 6, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)$227.70Jun 4, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$3.20Jun 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$3.20Jun 4, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 3?$165.00Jun 4, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3?$70.00Jun 4, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$56.00Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 3?$92.40Jun 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3?$46.20Jun 3, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate say "Nursing home" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$195.00Jun 3, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "Nursing home" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$195.00Jun 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 23?$5.00May 22, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Brutal" or "Brutally" during events with South African President on May 21?$5.00May 22, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Brutal" or "Brutally" during events with South African President on May 21?$1.95May 21, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $66.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 04:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 13:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".